Setting your own heart-rate thresholds for pacing
Why a threshold built from your own data beats an age-predicted formula
Prepared 2026 · Energy Lab R&D analysis · descriptive, per-user normalized · not medical advice
Community question - group case
A question that came across the Energy Lab community: how to set personalized resting and exertion heart-rate thresholds for pacing apps when the heart could increase for reasons other than metabolic effort.
The short version
If you only have energy for one page
There isn't a single number that works for everyone, and an age-predicted formula assumes a heart-rate-to-effort relationship ELC conditions might break. The steadier path is building both thresholds from your own data: check your resting heart rate every day for 2-3 weeks, at the same time and under the same conditions, ignore at least two most unusual days - single highest and single lowest reading. Use the range covered by the rest of your readings as your guide for personal limits. And the most important as always - use the delayed 1-3 day response as the real test of whether this ceiling is right. None of this is medical advice — bring any specific threshold changes to your own clinician, especially if you're on a heart-rate-affecting medication.
How much resting HR swing between quiet and busier days varies across community members
Example: a member whose resting HR is usually 65 bpm on quiet days and 75 bpm on busier days has a swing width of 10 bpm on this chart — not a resting HR of 10.
| Range | members |
|---|---|
| 3.9 to 5.2 | 2 |
| 5.2 to 6.5 | 4 |
| 6.5 to 7.8 | 10 |
| 7.8 to 9.1 | 11 |
| 9.1 to 10.4 | 10 |
| 10.4 to 11.7 | 9 |
| 11.7 to 13 | 3 |
| 13 to 14.3 | 5 |
| 14.3 to 15.6 | 4 |
| 16.9 to 18.2 | 1 |
| 19.5 to 20.8 | 1 |
| 20.8 to 22.1 | 1 |
| 26 to 27.3 | 1 |
Read whichever parts you have energy for, and skip the rest.
Why one number doesn't fit
A percent-of-age-predicted-max-HR ceiling, and a fixed resting number set from a year of averages, both assume something ELC conditions might break.
- In ELC patients with orthostatic intolerance or POTS, the heart can race not from effort but to keep blood reaching the brain - when blood pools in the legs, vessels don't tighten enough, or the fight-or-flight system is overactive. Heart rate and effort come apart both ways: the heart can race during little activity (orthostatic tachycardia) or fail to rise enough at peak effort (chronotropic incompetence). Any formula assuming a faster heart means harder work - the MET number or the age-predicted maximum-heart-rate formula - breaks down whenever heart rate is driven by something other than exertion.
- The popular resting-HR-plus-15-bpm shortcut used in some pacing communities is yet to be validated in ME/CFS or other ELC conditions – so it might be used as a rough starting point at most.
- A single ceiling can't fit everyone anyway: in our own community, 8 out of 10 members have their own aerobic ceiling (max MET) between 8.33 and 12.84 — a wide spread from person to person. No single percentage from any formula can match everyone at once.
Building the resting threshold from a trend, not one reading
The median member's resting heart rate ranges across 9.6 bpm between a quiet day and a busier one. A single set number set, like the 70 bpm many of us start with, is measuring a moving target.
- Check your resting heart rate every day for 2-3 weeks. Ignore your one or two most unusual days — your single highest reading and your single lowest reading. Use the range covered by the rest of your readings as your guide, not one fixed number.
- Expect it to shift with illness, activity, stress, or just a different week - that's how the range moving.
Mind the way your own number might be distorted
Two opposite distortions run through this community - a POTS-type pattern that over-reads effort, and an ME/CFS-type pattern that under-reads it - and a passive daily reading can't tell them apart on its own.
A lying-to-standing heart-rate check - the kind of orthostatic test measuring your heart rate lying down, then standing, can reveal the direction (like a NASA lean test). We’re currently working on a way for our community to do a version of this test at home using their own device. Stay tuned for the guide!
A jump of 30 or more beats per minute on standing might be a sign of the compensatory pattern POTS is defined by (Mathias 2011; Chopra 2026) — worth a conversation with your clinician, not just an app setting.
Judging the threshold by what happens a day or two later
Survey data indicate people with ME/CFS report that pacing with a heart-rate monitor helps them understand and manage their PEM (Clague-Baker et al., 2023, Work — an international survey, n=488). Whichever numbers you land on, the more reliable test isn't how the reading looks in the moment — it's what your body can still do one to three days after a slightly bigger effort, repeated more than once.
- A single "it held" is one data point, not proof. The same test holding safely several times over a few weeks is what suggests a threshold is tuned reasonably.
- A delayed flare after a small step-up is a signal to lower the ceiling; several weeks without one is a signal it might have room to move — then watch again.
What's worth keeping an eye on
It can help to keep an eye on a few things over time — your resting heart rate, how your heart rate responds when you stand, and how you feel in the 1–3 days after different activities — to get a sense of how your body responds and what tends to precede a harder patch. This is for your own understanding, not a fixed rule, and it's worth going over with a clinician. One limitation: if your heart rate doesn't seem to match how hard you're actually working — racing when you're resting, or staying flat when you're pushing — it may not be a reliable guide for you.
References
- 1.Mathias, C.J., Low, D.A., Iodice, V., Owens, A.P., Kirbis, M., & Grahame, R. (2011). Postural tachycardia syndrome - current experience and concepts. Nature Reviews Neurology, 8(1), 22-34. — https://doi.org/10.1038/nrneurol.2011.187
- 2.Chopra, P. (2026). Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome: when dysautonomia misleads. Frontiers in Neurology, 17. — https://doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2026.1806502
- 3.Clague-Baker et al. (2023). Heart-rate pacing below the anaerobic threshold in ME/CFS. Work, 76(2). — https://doi.org/10.3233/WOR-220512
- 4.Bateman Horne Center - orthostatic (NASA Lean) testing & energy-management resources. — https://batemanhornecenter.org/
- 5.Welltory Energy Lab (public page). — https://welltory.com
Welltory Energy Lab · general information from community data, not a substitute for medical advice